SOCR EduMaterials Activities Discrete Distributions

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(This is an activity to explore the Negaive Binomial Probability Distribution.)
(This is an activity to explore the Negative Binomial Probability Distribution.)
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== This is an activity to explore the Negative Binomial Probability Distribution.==
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== This is an activity to explore the Poisson Probability Distribution.==
* '''Description''':  You can access the applets for the above distributions at  http://www.socr.ucla.edu/htmls/SOCR_Distributions.html .  
* '''Description''':  You can access the applets for the above distributions at  http://www.socr.ucla.edu/htmls/SOCR_Distributions.html .  
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* '''Exercise 1:''' Use SOCR to graph and print the following distributions and comment on the shape of each one of them:
 
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** a. <math> X </math> follows negative binomial with <math> r=5, \ p=0.2 </math>. 
 
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** b. <math> X </math> follows negative binomial with <math> r=5, \ p=0.9 </math>. 
 
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** c. <math> X </math> follows negative binomial with <math> r=20, \ p=0.3 </math>. 
 
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** d. <math> X </math> follows negative binomial with <math> r=20, \ p=0.9 </math>.
 
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* '''Exercise 2:''' Let <math> X </math>  follows the negative binomial distribution with <math> r=5, \ p=0.2 </math>.  Explain in words what <math> P(X > 10) </math> means and use SOCR to compute this probability.
 
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Below you can see the distribution of negative binomial with <math> r=15, \ p=0.8 </math>.  In this graph you can also see the probability that the 5th success occurs on the 18th or 19th or 20th or 21st or 22nd trial.
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* '''Exercise 1:''' Use SOCR to graph and print the distribution of a Poisson random variable with <math> \lambda=2 </math>.  What is the shape of this distribution? 
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* '''Exercise 2:''' Use SOCR to graph and print the distribution of a Poisson random variable with <math> \lambda=15 </math>.  What is the shape of this distribution?  What happens when you keep increasing <math> \lambda </math>?
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<center>[[Image: SOCR_Activities_Christou_neg_binomial.jpg|600px]]</center>
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* '''Exercise 3:''' Let <math> X \sim Poisson(5) </math>.  Find <math> P(3 \le X < 10) </math>, and <math> P(X >10 | X \ge 4) </math>.
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* '''Exercise 4:''' Poisson approximation to binomial:  Graph and print <math> X \sim b(60, 0.02) </math>.  Approximate this probability distribution using Poisson.  Choose three values of <math> X </math> and compute the probability for each one using Poisson and then using binomial.  How good is the approximation?
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Below you can see the distribution of a Poisson random variable with <math> \lambda=5 </math>.  In this graph you can also see the probability that between 2 and 5 events will occur.
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<center>[[Image: SOCR_Activities_Christou_poisson.jpg|600px]]</center>

Revision as of 23:17, 27 October 2006

This is an activity to explore the Poisson Probability Distribution.


  • Exercise 1: Use SOCR to graph and print the distribution of a Poisson random variable with λ = 2. What is the shape of this distribution?
  • Exercise 2: Use SOCR to graph and print the distribution of a Poisson random variable with λ = 15. What is the shape of this distribution? What happens when you keep increasing λ?
  • Exercise 3: Let  X \sim Poisson(5) . Find  P(3 \le X < 10) , and  P(X >10 | X \ge 4) .
  • Exercise 4: Poisson approximation to binomial: Graph and print  X \sim b(60, 0.02) . Approximate this probability distribution using Poisson. Choose three values of X and compute the probability for each one using Poisson and then using binomial. How good is the approximation?


Below you can see the distribution of a Poisson random variable with λ = 5. In this graph you can also see the probability that between 2 and 5 events will occur.







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